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2024-12-14 00:35:28

Judging from the trend of the flush, it is obviously a spent force. Today, it hit a new high, and immediately hit -1% of the closing price from 10 points in the morning. I don't know how many people will be buried. In this position, my point is that the flush should be adjusted at least in a decent way, and the 20-day line is basically untenable. Maybe it should be directed at the 60 antenna, so as to find effective support and build it for 30 minutes. (Of course, it doesn't mean that it will definitely evolve like this, and the specific way to go has to be judged now.)3. At the policy level, it is clear that the market is much better than before October. After all, the volume of transactions is still here, and policies are constantly introduced to prevent water, stabilize the property market and stabilize the stock market. Therefore, in the medium and long term, it is still very promising to get out of the bull market, but all this is a slow process. It is impossible for the market to rise by five or six points every day. Everyone should be a little patient, don't always think about inflation every day, I'm not a bear, I just judge what the current operation idea is according to the trend.2. From the classification of the 30-minute trend, there are two ways to divide it, as shown in the following figure, which are two completely different types of 30-minute trend, but no matter how to divide it, the market will eventually need to go out of the daily line to complete the trend, as shown in the figure.


3. At the policy level, it is clear that the market is much better than before October. After all, the volume of transactions is still here, and policies are constantly introduced to prevent water, stabilize the property market and stabilize the stock market. Therefore, in the medium and long term, it is still very promising to get out of the bull market, but all this is a slow process. It is impossible for the market to rise by five or six points every day. Everyone should be a little patient, don't always think about inflation every day, I'm not a bear, I just judge what the current operation idea is according to the trend.2. From the classification of the 30-minute trend, there are two ways to divide it, as shown in the following figure, which are two completely different types of 30-minute trend, but no matter how to divide it, the market will eventually need to go out of the daily line to complete the trend, as shown in the figure.Today, in this article, I will explain to you from three aspects: technology, policy and market psychology why the market must need a wave of adjustment in this position.


1. From a technical point of view, 3500 points is a crucial pressure level, which is related to the fuse in 15 years. I don't know how many people were buried in this wave of fuse. You can look at the trend of Shanghai Stock Exchange since then and never stand firm at 3500 points again. At the best time, it just oscillated around here and finally fell back to its original position.4. No matter how good the policy is, the response is completely different in different positions. Just like this policy, it is obviously not small, but it is completely different from the wave of the Eleventh. Why? The fundamental reason is that the market is located in different positions, and the energy erupted is naturally different. At present, the huge pressure level of 3500 is still here, so it is not so easy to break through. Remember, taking back your fist is to save energy and make the next punch better.Technical analysis on December 10th: Why have I always insisted that the market needs a decent adjustment recently?

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